Figures

Input

Diagnostics

Results

Retro

Reference points

Miscellaneous

Tables

Parameter estimates

Parameter estimates, standard errors, and confidence intervals. Rounded to 3 decimal places.
Estimate Std. Error 95% CI lower 95% CI upper
stock 1 Mean Recruitment \(2681178.897\) \(691677.620\) \(1617100.150\) \(4445439.127\)
stock 1 NAA \(\sigma\) (age 1) \(0.823\) \(0.127\) \(0.608\) \(1.114\)
stock 1 NAA \(\sigma\) (ages 2-8+) \(0.257\) \(0.044\) \(0.184\) \(0.360\)
stock 1 NAA AR1 \(\rho\) age \(0.837\) \(0.061\) \(0.671\) \(0.923\)
Shrimp fully selected q \(1.267\times 10^{-5}\) \(2.054\times 10^{-6}\) \(9.220\times 10^{-6}\) \(1.741\times 10^{-5}\)
Acoust fully selected q \(3.452\times 10^{-5}\) \(6.176\times 10^{-6}\) \(2.431\times 10^{-5}\) \(4.902\times 10^{-5}\)
SprAlb85 fully selected q \(7.685\times 10^{-6}\) \(1.217\times 10^{-6}\) \(5.634\times 10^{-6}\) \(1.048\times 10^{-5}\)
FallAlb85 fully selected q \(1.196\times 10^{-5}\) \(2.261\times 10^{-6}\) \(8.260\times 10^{-6}\) \(1.733\times 10^{-5}\)
SprBig fully selected q \(4.448\times 10^{-5}\) \(7.868\times 10^{-6}\) \(3.145\times 10^{-5}\) \(6.291\times 10^{-5}\)
FallBig fully selected q \(7.393\times 10^{-5}\) \(1.986\times 10^{-5}\) \(4.367\times 10^{-5}\) \(1.252\times 10^{-4}\)
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 1 \(3.542\times 10^{-4}\) \(9.070\times 10^{-5}\) \(2.144\times 10^{-4}\) \(5.851\times 10^{-4}\)
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 2 \(0.089\) \(0.016\) \(0.062\) \(0.127\)
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 3 \(0.342\) \(0.056\) \(0.242\) \(0.459\)
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 4 \(0.447\) \(0.066\) \(0.324\) \(0.576\)
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 5 \(0.540\) \(0.067\) \(0.408\) \(0.666\)
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 6 \(0.718\) \(0.067\) \(0.571\) \(0.830\)
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 7 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 1: Mobile Selectivity for age 8+ \(1.000\) – – –
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 1 \(0.038\) \(0.007\) \(0.027\) \(0.053\)
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 2 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 3 \(0.238\) \(0.038\) \(0.171\) \(0.321\)
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 4 \(0.103\) \(0.024\) \(0.065\) \(0.160\)
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 5 \(0.069\) \(0.019\) \(0.040\) \(0.117\)
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 6 \(0.062\) \(0.019\) \(0.034\) \(0.112\)
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 7 \(0.059\) \(0.020\) \(0.030\) \(0.112\)
Block 2: Fixed Selectivity for age 8+ \(0.041\) \(0.013\) \(0.021\) \(0.076\)
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 1 \(0.000\) – – –
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 2 \(0.000\) – – –
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 3 \(0.058\) \(0.026\) \(0.024\) \(0.134\)
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 4 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 5 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 6 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 7 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 3: Shrimp Selectivity for age 8+ \(1.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 1 \(0.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 2 \(0.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 3 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 4 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 5 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 6 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 7 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 4: Acoust Selectivity for age 8+ \(1.000\) – – –
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 1 \(0.000\) – – –
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 2 \(0.344\) \(0.051\) \(0.252\) \(0.450\)
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 3 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 4 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 5 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 6 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 7 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 5: SprAlb85 Selectivity for age 8+ \(1.000\) – – –
Block 6: FallAlb85 \(a_{50}\) \(2.737\) \(0.141\) \(2.468\) \(3.020\)
Block 6: FallAlb85 1/slope (increasing) \(0.353\) \(0.042\) \(0.279\) \(0.446\)
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 1 \(0.000\) – – –
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 2 \(0.138\) \(0.034\) \(0.085\) \(0.218\)
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 3 \(0.591\) \(0.100\) \(0.391\) \(0.765\)
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 4 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 5 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 6 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 7 \(1.000\) – – –
Block 7: SprBig Selectivity for age 8+ \(1.000\) – – –
Block 8: FallBig \(a_{50}\) \(3.821\) \(0.293\) \(3.254\) \(4.396\)
Block 8: FallBig 1/slope (increasing) \(0.475\) \(0.062\) \(0.368\) \(0.612\)
Mobile in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) \(12.095\) \(1.338\) \(9.737\) \(15.023\)
Mobile in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\rho\) \(0.823\) \(0.041\) \(0.729\) \(0.889\)
Fixed in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) \(25.828\) \(2.442\) \(21.460\) \(31.086\)
Fixed in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\rho\) \(0.819\) \(0.036\) \(0.739\) \(0.879\)
Shrimp in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) \(22.897\) \(5.918\) \(13.796\) \(38.002\)
Shrimp in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\rho\) \(0.809\) \(0.107\) \(0.520\) \(0.943\)
SprAlb85 in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) \(23.201\) \(3.163\) \(17.761\) \(30.308\)
SprAlb85 in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\rho\) \(0.884\) \(0.034\) \(0.798\) \(0.936\)
FallAlb85 in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) \(23.193\) \(3.341\) \(17.489\) \(30.759\)
FallAlb85 in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\rho\) \(0.936\) \(0.020\) \(0.883\) \(0.966\)
SprBig in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) \(15.528\) \(2.749\) \(10.975\) \(21.968\)
SprBig in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\rho\) \(0.754\) \(0.093\) \(0.533\) \(0.892\)
FallBig in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) \(22.041\) \(3.721\) \(15.831\) \(30.686\)
FallBig in region 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\rho\) \(0.849\) \(0.055\) \(0.708\) \(0.929\)
Ecov LarvalTempDuration: RW Ecov\(_1\) \(4.498\) \(0.073\) \(4.354\) \(4.642\)
Ecov LarvalTempDuration: RW \(\sigma\) \(0.037\) \(0.014\) \(0.018\) \(0.079\)
Ecov: LarvalTempDuration obs. sd. \(0.156\) \(0.019\) \(0.123\) \(0.197\)

Abundance at age

Abundance at age (1000s) for stock 1 in region 1.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8+
1987 1698959 1137455 557375 648139 106105 50450 11419 5204
1988 3147423 1894972 679532 509570 583936 93862 31284 7388
1989 2629920 2241611 645784 340536 257967 330437 56451 20256
1990 2764029 2120471 859452 406762 199733 147265 197202 42200
1991 3071104 3141690 1344685 750086 281337 116463 80908 131511
1992 2310956 3237565 2549230 1016066 471966 161070 62502 102661
1993 2101361 1678394 1427355 1051823 485520 179260 58017 52893
1994 1982678 1887823 805360 918714 718148 349482 110046 55958
1995 10624935 2218934 1484692 951841 1258058 868065 351702 133045
1996 6173281 9377875 1566108 1024965 650501 751484 400229 180326
1997 3565332 3040068 4362644 717519 413006 277373 222681 137753
1998 1333614 2326823 1264928 1979420 412358 206119 131660 127049
1999 4422971 1218188 1498925 879218 1164196 265546 105905 95587
2000 2088577 4466077 745578 801792 564198 535076 115499 65661
2001 1700584 1518986 3162450 548750 559442 431397 320932 87715
2002 7910880 1590459 993871 2389207 536267 395554 228947 152252
2003 4881029 3150011 685657 487631 1137640 333344 199930 152621
2004 4278083 4879158 2975639 743789 471739 707490 211659 149718
2005 902166 1161270 1111147 875179 293997 188163 204071 89973
2006 4530363 1029036 1182745 1133746 701251 205882 101726 107434
2007 1229093 3371619 676337 625654 623473 384857 100128 76740
2008 2576652 593257 1281687 294826 223119 239681 152820 66862
2009 18046495 3904997 887843 967444 173875 120016 100153 67316
2010 2760271 17104477 2738282 455068 416459 68653 40074 38575
2011 2552853 1170999 4575947 739858 129154 94042 16572 16267
2012 8271442 1436184 623197 2026152 305257 55983 31438 9452
2013 3155868 7203879 1047776 428391 1018664 133716 21987 10433
2014 3500853 1274511 2997130 432224 228246 494015 60579 11690
2015 1015959 1405938 447925 1226708 220595 151424 282590 34851
2016 404131 570453 753697 285279 617827 123519 83568 148224
2017 1895305 265786 364630 393432 172097 303018 57793 92850
2018 620552 873947 92479 92378 96660 52166 86101 43388
2019 6263655 722037 694556 53241 51046 47828 21973 31905
2020 2400461 1888343 229480 168556 11539 12871 12293 12792
2021 1350109 1034388 675883 83486 46436 3814 3551 5616
2022 1622847 791470 536357 320924 49890 27223 2119 4537
2023 2555845 1159259 553255 264874 153779 26005 13188 3037

Fishing mortality at age by region

Total fishing mortality at age in region 1.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8+
1987 0.025 0.739 0.482 0.493 0.560 0.725 0.992 0.979
1988 0.028 0.792 0.378 0.339 0.369 0.469 0.632 0.619
1989 0.031 0.870 0.424 0.386 0.421 0.536 0.724 0.709
1990 0.024 0.676 0.325 0.293 0.319 0.406 0.548 0.536
1991 0.010 0.310 0.288 0.324 0.377 0.494 0.682 0.677
1992 0.010 0.303 0.244 0.265 0.306 0.399 0.549 0.544
1993 0.017 0.482 0.287 0.285 0.320 0.413 0.563 0.555
1994 0.013 0.380 0.229 0.228 0.257 0.332 0.453 0.446
1995 0.005 0.162 0.158 0.179 0.209 0.274 0.379 0.376
1996 0.002 0.079 0.148 0.184 0.220 0.292 0.405 0.404
1997 0.004 0.151 0.206 0.247 0.292 0.386 0.534 0.533
1998 0.009 0.296 0.264 0.294 0.342 0.448 0.617 0.613
1999 0.009 0.292 0.286 0.325 0.380 0.498 0.687 0.683
2000 0.003 0.125 0.230 0.286 0.341 0.452 0.627 0.626
2001 0.007 0.224 0.224 0.256 0.300 0.393 0.543 0.539
2002 0.004 0.144 0.156 0.180 0.212 0.279 0.385 0.383
2003 0.003 0.114 0.202 0.250 0.298 0.395 0.548 0.547
2004 0.004 0.135 0.147 0.170 0.200 0.263 0.363 0.361
2005 0.009 0.297 0.316 0.365 0.429 0.564 0.779 0.775
2006 0.007 0.233 0.263 0.307 0.361 0.476 0.658 0.654
2007 0.008 0.272 0.252 0.283 0.330 0.432 0.596 0.592
2008 0.006 0.238 0.326 0.391 0.464 0.612 0.848 0.845
2009 0.001 0.102 0.313 0.403 0.486 0.646 0.899 0.899
2010 0.001 0.060 0.148 0.189 0.227 0.301 0.418 0.418
2011 0.002 0.104 0.239 0.303 0.364 0.482 0.671 0.670
2012 0.001 0.084 0.301 0.392 0.473 0.629 0.876 0.876
2013 0.001 0.089 0.279 0.361 0.435 0.579 0.805 0.805
2014 0.001 0.074 0.211 0.271 0.326 0.434 0.603 0.603
2015 0.001 0.072 0.231 0.299 0.360 0.479 0.666 0.666
2016 0.005 0.181 0.251 0.303 0.359 0.474 0.656 0.654
2017 0.004 0.153 0.214 0.258 0.306 0.403 0.559 0.557
2018 0.015 0.535 0.686 0.816 0.965 1.273 1.762 1.755
2019 0.010 0.294 0.207 0.217 0.248 0.322 0.441 0.436
2020 0.003 0.106 0.150 0.180 0.214 0.283 0.392 0.390
2021 0.005 0.157 0.110 0.116 0.132 0.172 0.235 0.233
2022 0.003 0.087 0.056 0.057 0.064 0.083 0.114 0.113
2023 0.001 0.037 0.081 0.102 0.123 0.163 0.226 0.226

Fishing mortality at age by fleet

Total fishing mortality at age in Mobile.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8+
1987 0.000 0.085 0.326 0.426 0.514 0.684 0.953 0.953
1988 0.000 0.052 0.201 0.263 0.318 0.423 0.589 0.589
1989 0.000 0.060 0.231 0.302 0.365 0.486 0.676 0.676
1990 0.000 0.045 0.175 0.228 0.275 0.366 0.510 0.510
1991 0.000 0.059 0.228 0.298 0.360 0.479 0.667 0.667
1992 0.000 0.048 0.183 0.238 0.288 0.383 0.534 0.534
1993 0.000 0.048 0.184 0.240 0.290 0.386 0.538 0.538
1994 0.000 0.039 0.148 0.193 0.233 0.310 0.432 0.432
1995 0.000 0.033 0.127 0.166 0.200 0.266 0.371 0.371
1996 0.000 0.036 0.138 0.180 0.217 0.289 0.402 0.402
1997 0.000 0.047 0.181 0.236 0.285 0.379 0.528 0.528
1998 0.000 0.054 0.206 0.269 0.325 0.433 0.603 0.603
1999 0.000 0.060 0.231 0.301 0.364 0.484 0.673 0.673
2000 0.000 0.056 0.213 0.278 0.336 0.447 0.623 0.623
2001 0.000 0.047 0.182 0.238 0.287 0.382 0.532 0.532
2002 0.000 0.034 0.130 0.169 0.204 0.272 0.379 0.379
2003 0.000 0.049 0.186 0.243 0.294 0.391 0.544 0.544
2004 0.000 0.032 0.122 0.160 0.193 0.256 0.357 0.357
2005 0.000 0.068 0.262 0.342 0.413 0.550 0.765 0.765
2006 0.000 0.058 0.221 0.289 0.349 0.465 0.647 0.647
2007 0.000 0.052 0.199 0.260 0.315 0.418 0.583 0.583
2008 0.000 0.075 0.287 0.374 0.452 0.602 0.838 0.838
2009 0.000 0.080 0.307 0.401 0.485 0.645 0.898 0.898
2010 0.000 0.037 0.143 0.186 0.225 0.299 0.417 0.417
2011 0.000 0.060 0.229 0.298 0.361 0.480 0.668 0.668
2012 0.000 0.078 0.300 0.391 0.473 0.629 0.876 0.876
2013 0.000 0.072 0.275 0.359 0.434 0.577 0.804 0.804
2014 0.000 0.054 0.206 0.269 0.325 0.432 0.602 0.602
2015 0.000 0.059 0.228 0.297 0.359 0.478 0.666 0.666
2016 0.000 0.058 0.222 0.290 0.350 0.466 0.649 0.649
2017 0.000 0.049 0.189 0.247 0.298 0.397 0.553 0.553
2018 0.001 0.155 0.595 0.777 0.939 1.249 1.739 1.739
2019 0.000 0.038 0.146 0.190 0.230 0.306 0.426 0.426
2020 0.000 0.035 0.133 0.173 0.209 0.278 0.388 0.388
2021 0.000 0.020 0.078 0.101 0.123 0.163 0.227 0.227
2022 0.000 0.010 0.037 0.049 0.059 0.079 0.109 0.109
2023 0.000 0.020 0.077 0.101 0.122 0.162 0.225 0.225
Total fishing mortality at age in Fixed.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8+
1987 0.025 0.654 0.156 0.067 0.045 0.041 0.039 0.027
1988 0.028 0.740 0.176 0.076 0.051 0.046 0.044 0.030
1989 0.031 0.810 0.193 0.084 0.056 0.050 0.048 0.033
1990 0.024 0.631 0.150 0.065 0.044 0.039 0.037 0.026
1991 0.009 0.250 0.060 0.026 0.017 0.016 0.015 0.010
1992 0.010 0.256 0.061 0.026 0.018 0.016 0.015 0.010
1993 0.016 0.434 0.103 0.045 0.030 0.027 0.026 0.018
1994 0.013 0.342 0.081 0.035 0.024 0.021 0.020 0.014
1995 0.005 0.129 0.031 0.013 0.009 0.008 0.008 0.005
1996 0.002 0.043 0.010 0.004 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.002
1997 0.004 0.104 0.025 0.011 0.007 0.006 0.006 0.004
1998 0.009 0.242 0.058 0.025 0.017 0.015 0.014 0.010
1999 0.009 0.232 0.055 0.024 0.016 0.014 0.014 0.009
2000 0.003 0.070 0.017 0.007 0.005 0.004 0.004 0.003
2001 0.007 0.177 0.042 0.018 0.012 0.011 0.010 0.007
2002 0.004 0.110 0.026 0.011 0.008 0.007 0.007 0.004
2003 0.002 0.065 0.016 0.007 0.005 0.004 0.004 0.003
2004 0.004 0.103 0.025 0.011 0.007 0.006 0.006 0.004
2005 0.009 0.228 0.054 0.024 0.016 0.014 0.014 0.009
2006 0.007 0.175 0.042 0.018 0.012 0.011 0.010 0.007
2007 0.008 0.220 0.052 0.023 0.015 0.014 0.013 0.009
2008 0.006 0.163 0.039 0.017 0.011 0.010 0.010 0.007
2009 0.001 0.022 0.005 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.001 0.001
2010 0.001 0.022 0.005 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.001 0.001
2011 0.002 0.044 0.011 0.005 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.002
2012 0.000 0.006 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
2013 0.001 0.018 0.004 0.002 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001
2014 0.001 0.021 0.005 0.002 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001
2015 0.000 0.013 0.003 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001
2016 0.005 0.123 0.029 0.013 0.009 0.008 0.007 0.005
2017 0.004 0.104 0.025 0.011 0.007 0.006 0.006 0.004
2018 0.014 0.380 0.091 0.039 0.026 0.024 0.023 0.015
2019 0.010 0.256 0.061 0.026 0.018 0.016 0.015 0.010
2020 0.003 0.071 0.017 0.007 0.005 0.004 0.004 0.003
2021 0.005 0.137 0.033 0.014 0.009 0.009 0.008 0.006
2022 0.003 0.077 0.018 0.008 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.003
2023 0.001 0.017 0.004 0.002 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001